RESULTS & METHODOLOGY
The results.
The full context.
See how our recorded alerts have performed, what the figures include, and where their limits are. Gains and losses belong in the same picture.
Internally recorded · Not independently verified
Generated . Snapshot bb92b2bed7a849fad47e.
The intended refresh is every six hours. This static report shows the last successful generation time and may age if a source or update fails. These are internally recorded, modelled strategy results. They do not establish member execution, available prices, actual placed or realised profits. The strategies use different capital and timing bases and are not combined into a yield. Figures do not deduct ProfitPanda membership fees or account-specific charges. The current month is incomplete; its figures cover only the records available at the snapshot time.
Value +EV
Modelled settled P/L: +£9,980.30 across 2745 included records.
- Population
- All ledger: historical internal/staff and member alerts
- Period
- 2026-07-07 to 2026-10-08
- Stake and capital
- £100 per decided bet, rescaled from the canonical flat 2-point record. Aggregate modelled outlay: £274,500.00.
- Commission
- Value P/L uses the recorded alert price (member price where recorded); no separate exchange commission is deducted.
- Date basis
- Kickoff date, Europe/London; later settlements and corrections restate that month.
- Coverage and exclusions
- Source records: 2987; Records in population: 2987; Outside population: 0; Unresolved: 202; Void: 13; Repeat alerts consolidated: 27; Earlier outcomes superseded: 0
| Month | Included | Monthly P/L | Cumulative P/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | 158 | −£75.00 | −£75.00 |
| August 2026 | 120 | −£1,796.00 | −£1,871.00 |
| September 2026 | 2038 | +£13,882.30 | +£12,011.30 |
| October 2026 | 429 | −£2,031.00 | +£9,980.30 |
2Up
Modelled graded P/L: +£419.44 across 133 included records.
- Population
- First recorded alert for each unique alert at edge ≥ 2%
- Period
- 2026-09-16 to 2026-10-08
- Stake and capital
- £100 back stake plus proportionally scaled exchange lay stake and liability. This is more than £100 of capital. Aggregate modelled outlay: £62,461.15.
- Commission
- P/L uses each alert’s recorded commission; no commission history is inferred.
- Date basis
- Kickoff date, Europe/London; recorded outcomes grade the first posted prices.
- Coverage and exclusions
- Source records: 15236; Unique first alerts: 694; Repeat alerts ignored: 1948; Below minimum edge: 522; Unresolved: 39; Void: 0; Unmatched selections: 0
| Month | Included | Monthly P/L | Cumulative P/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 93 | +£28.23 | +£28.23 |
| October 2026 | 40 | +£391.21 | +£419.44 |
Arbitrage
Theoretical profit at publication: +£5,361.92 across 2118 included records.
- Population
- Published ledger excluding “Not an arb” withdrawals and profit above 10%
- Period
- 2026-09-20 to 2026-10-08
- Stake and capital
- £100 on the largest bookmaker back bet with other bets proportionally sized, including lay liability; unsizeable cards use £100 total fallback. Aggregate modelled outlay: £363,503.92.
- Commission
- Back/lay sizing uses current configured exchange commission (default 2%); the profit percentage is recorded. Historical commission is not reconstructed.
- Date basis
- First publication date, Europe/London. No event settlement is required.
- Coverage and exclusions
- Source records: 2128; Withdrawn as not an arbitrage: 5; Above profit cap: 5; Publication after snapshot: 0; Total-stake fallback: 0; Unresolved: not tracked; Void: not tracked
| Month | Included | Monthly P/L | Cumulative P/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 1065 | +£2,824.70 | +£2,824.70 |
| October 2026 | 1053 | +£2,537.22 | +£5,361.92 |
Source freshness and corrections
- Value alert ledger: read; source modified 8 Oct 2026, 20:10:33 UTC
- Historical outcome recovery: read; source modified 8 Oct 2026, 18:01:31 UTC
- Reconciled historical backfill: read; source modified 1 Aug 2026, 13:19:57 UTC
- 2Up alert ledger: read; source modified 8 Oct 2026, 20:17:21 UTC
- 2Up recorded outcomes: read; source modified 8 Oct 2026, 20:30:13 UTC
- Arbitrage publication ledger: read; source modified 8 Oct 2026, 18:15:08 UTC
- Value correction log: read; source modified 8 Oct 2026, 18:01:33 UTC
Value correction history: canonical value restatement log; 9 logged restatement changes (not a count of unique affected bets) in 111 checks, from 11 Sept 2026, 17:41:54 UTC to 8 Oct 2026, 18:01:33 UTC. Zero is only stated when supported by that log. 2Up and arbitrage do not have a canonical correction log in this report.
Monthly P/L reconciles exactly to displayed cumulative totals by differencing rounded cumulative values. Void, unresolved and excluded records contribute no P/L. Source timestamps show file freshness, not independent verification.
WHAT THE EVIDENCE SHOWS
Clear about verification.
This report is calculated from ProfitPanda’s own records. It has not been independently verified. It does not show that members placed every bet, obtained every quoted price or achieved these returns.
Internal calculation checks help us improve accuracy. Independent proofing would require a named external party, an agreed scope, records received before events and evidence of price availability. No such verification claim is made here.
Historical results do not predict future returns. Odds, account limits, settlement rules, costs and execution can change an individual result. You can lose money.
Who is behind ProfitPanda?
ProfitPanda is the trading name of Joseph Chapple, a sole trader. Our business details and terms explain who provides the service and how to contact us.
Spotted a discrepancy? Email support@profitpanda.co.uk with the strategy, month and snapshot date shown above.